{"algorithm":"Ed25519","canonicalization":"JSON con chiavi ordinate (sort_keys), separatori compatti (',' ':'), ensure_ascii","payload":{"verdict_id":276,"claim_id":277,"claim_text":"Scottish Fiscal Commission warned of a £5 billion black hole due to welfare spending","label":"impreciso","confidence":0.72,"explanation":"The SFC did warn of a funding gap of 'over £5 billion in today's terms' (per IFS citing SFC), but this refers to a broader long-term fiscal sustainability gap by 2050 under a specific scenario — not specifically a black hole 'due to welfare spending.' The welfare-specific funding gaps cited in the evidence are considerably smaller (e.g., £1.3 billion over block grant in 2025-26 per Evidence [4]). The claim incorrectly attributes the £5 billion figure solely to welfare spending.","sources":[{"url":"https://ifs.org.uk/articles/scottish-fiscal-sustainability-report-immediate-response","ente":"Institute for Fiscal Studies (citing Scottish Fiscal Commission)","titolo":"Scottish Fiscal Sustainability Report – immediate response","estratto":"If the UK government only meets half the projected spending increase through tax rises, the SFC projects an annual 'funding gap' for the Scottish Government equivalent to almost 10% of its budget by 2050 – over £5 billion in today's terms."},{"url":"https://committees.parliament.uk/writtenevidence/134024/pdf/","ente":"Scottish Fiscal Commission / UK Parliament","titolo":"Written evidence submitted by the Scottish Fiscal Commission (FSG0009)","estratto":"In 2025-26 social security spending is forecast to be £1.3 billion higher than the corresponding funding provided by the UK Government."}],"issued_at":"2026-07-01T06:15:01+00:00"},"signature_b64":"OM/zPvZXUfWm972mHXLH10yxfRym1LWLt5efKMILgOemNGurRz+pv4aO74I688QS6okXOLUBSSRtNrvunYySCQ==","public_key_hex":"1719e2638a2cc0ec8d552d71dca52197f934e0a66b17e6364f1eed7a1d428e01","note":"Verifica offline: ed25519_verify(public_key, base64decode(signature_b64), canonical_json(payload))."}